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    拉加德“跳槽”,市場猜測IMF新總裁

    2019-07-04 06:18:42 環球時報

    本報駐德國特約記者 青木

    去年9月,面對媒體詢問她是否對歐洲央行的工作感興趣時,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)總裁拉加德連用5個“不”來回答。幾個月后,拉加德卻“十分榮幸”地獲得歐洲央行行長提名。對于這一“意外”人選,德國《商報》3日評論稱,拉加德出任歐洲央行行長將讓歐元區政策從“德國化”向“法國化”偏移。

    經過“持久戰”式的談判,歐盟成員國2日終于達成一致,提名拉加德作為歐洲央行新任掌門人。如果一切順利,拉加德將成為歐洲央行首位女行長,但也會是歐洲央行首位沒有央行背景的行長。美國《華爾街日報》稱,有人會懷疑她能否在金融市場獲得與現任行長德拉吉同樣的可信度。目前,各央行行長正面臨諸多挑戰,在包括歐元區在內的許多發達經濟體,通脹已低于目標水平,貿易沖突也阻礙了經濟增長。

    《華爾街日報》稱,拉加德是一位“經驗豐富的危機處理專家”,她在IMF的經歷將賦予其明星式的影響力,以及面對歐洲政府要求采取更多刺激措施的施壓所需的政治頭腦。

    德國《焦點》周刊3日分析稱,按照程序,拉加德將于11月1日接任歐洲央行行長職位。在德拉吉任職期間,歐洲央行將利率降至歷史最低點,預計拉加德不會改變這一政策。作為國際貨幣基金組織的負責人,拉加德一直支持寬松的貨幣政策。德國商業銀行首席投資策略師歇肯坦茲認為,拉加德將讓歐洲央行的政策具有延續性。

    拉加德作為IMF總裁的第二個5年任期要到2021年7月才結束,目前,她已經宣布將在提名期間暫時放棄其作為IMF總裁的職責,IMF第一副總裁利普頓已被任命為代理總裁。

    拉加德的意外“跳槽”也帶來了新問題:IMF需要一位新總裁。路透社3日稱,對于新總裁的猜測已經開始,可能候選人集中在被視為歐洲央行行長角逐者的歐洲人身上,其中包括芬蘭央行總裁雷恩、法國央行總裁維勒魯瓦德加洛、德國央行總裁暨歐洲央行管委魏德曼和歐洲央行執委科爾。一些分析師還暗示德拉吉可能是IMF總裁一職的潛在候選人。IMF一直以來都由歐洲人掌管,而世界銀行一直由美國人把持。▲

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