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    美軍想借船廠“重返蘇比克灣”

    2019-06-28 06:18:19 環球時報

    本報特約記者 貢邦

    隨著美國在南海不斷做出挑釁行為,距離南海較近的菲律賓蘇比克灣的戰略意義日益重要。美國《星條旗報》26日透露,如今韓進重工在菲律賓的子公司蘇比克造船廠陷入破產困境,這為美國海軍“重返蘇比克灣”、在南海“就近對抗中國”提供了難得的機遇。但接受《環球時報》采訪的專家27日表示,美軍借此“重返蘇比克灣”并沒有想象的那么容易。

    靠菲船廠“借尸還魂”

    報道稱,韓進重工在菲律賓的蘇比克船廠,是世界上第五大造船廠,擁有超過3萬名菲律賓雇員。該船廠具備強大的造船實力,在今年2月破產關閉之前,先后建造123艘大型集裝箱船、散裝貨船和原油、液化天然氣與礦砂運輸船。今年早些時候,該造船廠正式宣布破產,欠下巨額外債。最初兩家中國公司曾表示出接手蘇比克造船廠的意向,一度在美國引發“中國進軍蘇比克灣”的恐慌。中國企業退出后,荷蘭達門船廠集團和美國企業成為最新出現的意向投資者。

    美國海軍退役軍官布賴恩·布澤爾在美國海軍研究學會網站上撰文提出,韓進旗下蘇比克造船廠的經濟困境,是美軍“重返蘇比克灣的黃金機會”。美國太平洋艦隊副發言人內特·克里斯滕森中校26日證實,“美國海軍正在探索韓進蘇比克造船廠作為潛在維修基地的可行性,目前還沒有做出最終決定。”

    布澤爾認為,蘇比克造船廠可以幫助美國海軍更好完成在西太平洋的使命,也有助于對外彰顯美菲盟友關系的牢不可破。因此,美國政府應當知會菲律賓有關部門,采取一種可行的政府與社會資本合作的模式,重新開放和運營蘇比克造船廠。

    彌補“第一島鏈”薄弱一環

    據介紹,蘇比克灣坐落在菲律賓呂

    宋島西南岸,曾是美軍在東南亞最大的軍事基地,東南距馬尼拉80公里,西北距中國三亞約1200公里,西南與越南金蘭灣隔海對峙,可有效控制馬六甲海峽、巽他海峽、望加錫海峽和巴士海峽等,是扼守西太平洋與印度洋的海上交通要沖,戰略地位非常重要。

    香港《亞洲時報》曾分析稱,美軍撤出蘇比克灣以后,菲律賓成為美國圍堵中國的“第一島鏈”最脆弱環節。菲律賓與臺灣島相望的巴士海峽,是中國潛艇前出太平洋的捷徑。

    《星條旗報》稱,在美國海軍1992年撤出蘇比克軍事基地之前,蘇比克灣曾是數千名美國海軍及其家人的駐扎地。即使到了今天,對于經常在贊巴雷斯省附近練習海灘登陸的美國軍艦和海軍陸戰隊來說,蘇比克灣仍然是一個經常停靠的港口。“隨著中國努力在南海人造島上增加軍事部署,蘇比克灣作為戰略港口的重要性日益增強”。

    “以民為軍”暗藏禍心

    布澤爾認為,美國海軍的“航行自由”行動和美國空軍在南海的飛越行動,“無法阻止中國逐步贏得對南海的事實主權”。而有了蘇比克造船廠的就近保障,美國海軍不必像以前那樣,把船只拖到千里之外的珍珠港進行維護或修理。在美國本土造船廠紛紛關門之際,公私合營的蘇比克造船廠有助于美軍確保太平洋海域的軍艦“可用并做好戰斗準備”。“美國介入蘇比克造船廠后,中國將成為最大輸家”。

    夏威夷大學菲律賓專家帕特里夏·阿比納樂認為,美國海軍返回蘇比克灣的想法聽起來不錯,但美方需要拿出更多的激勵措施,才能吸引菲律賓參與進來。美國需要向菲律賓提供的不僅是官方訪問和安全保證、越南戰爭時代的國民警衛隊巡邏艦,還必須提供退役軍艦等實實在在的軍事援助。

    復旦大學海權專家楊震認為,目前,美國大型軍艦在新加坡樟宜港和日本橫須賀港之間,沒有任何可長期提供后勤支援的港口。美海軍兵力本來就十分有限,還非要到南海執行所謂“航行自由”行動,結果造成“師老兵疲”的尷尬窘境。這次美軍提出接手蘇比克造船廠,本質上是戰略投機,試圖在不重開軍事基地的情況下,通過民間公司為美軍就近提供保障,以此增加同中國在南海長期博弈的籌碼。但這種“以民為軍”的伎倆,表面上看是船廠交易,實質卻是美國作為域外國家攪渾南海的軍事干預,更是一種狡猾的戰略試探,不利于南海穩定與開發,相信菲律賓人民會作出正確的選擇。▲

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